Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000603 0.000694 0.000790 0.000900 0.001021 0.001151 0.001300
2025-05-11 0.000451 0.000572 0.000712 0.000881 0.001081 0.001306 0.001580
2025-05-18 0.000384 0.000521 0.000685 0.000894 0.001149 0.001448 0.001821
2025-05-25 0.000328 0.000473 0.000655 0.000896 0.001200 0.001566 0.002036
2025-06-01 0.000273 0.000418 0.000608 0.000868 0.001206 0.001626 0.002176
2025-06-08 0.000229 0.000372 0.000567 0.000841 0.001210 0.001678 0.002306
2025-06-15 0.000201 0.000344 0.000546 0.000839 0.001242 0.001765 0.002478
2025-06-22 0.000177 0.000319 0.000527 0.000837 0.001273 0.001849 0.002648
2025-06-29 0.000155 0.000294 0.000503 0.000826 0.001290 0.001913 0.002791
2025-07-06 0.000134 0.000268 0.000478 0.000809 0.001296 0.001963 0.002916
2025-07-13 0.000124 0.000259 0.000477 0.000828 0.001353 0.002081 0.003134
2025-07-20 0.000114 0.000249 0.000472 0.000840 0.001399 0.002186 0.003336
2025-07-27 0.000100 0.000230 0.000453 0.000830 0.001414 0.002248 0.003482
2025-08-03 0.000086 0.000211 0.000431 0.000813 0.001418 0.002294 0.003607
2025-08-10 0.000079 0.000203 0.000427 0.000825 0.001464 0.002401 0.003820
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000192 0.000418 0.000827 0.001495 0.002486 0.004002
2025-08-24 0.000061 0.000173 0.000393 0.000800 0.001479 0.002503 0.004085
2025-08-31 0.000051 0.000157 0.000370 0.000776 0.001465 0.002519 0.004168
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000147 0.000360 0.000773 0.001486 0.002589 0.004330
2025-09-14 0.000041 0.000139 0.000351 0.000771 0.001508 0.002660 0.004494
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000129 0.000337 0.000761 0.001515 0.002707 0.004624
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000119 0.000322 0.000745 0.001512 0.002738 0.004729
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000116 0.000324 0.000763 0.001565 0.002860 0.004974